今回は「The US now has an 85% chance of recession in 2024, the highest probability since the Great Financial Crisis, economist David Rosenberg says」についてコメントをさせて頂きます。

Business　Insider:　13　Feb,2024

「The US now has an 85% chance of recession in 2024, the highest probability since the Great Financial Crisis, economist David Rosenberg says」：　！

The economic indicator, which Rosenberg calls the "full model," suggests there's an 85% chance of a recession striking within the next 12 months.
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That's the model's highest reading since the Great Financial Crisis in 2008.

と言う報道なのですが、別にDavid Rosenbergさんだけではなく、米国をよく見ている人なら内心はそうおもっていると思います。

"Our conviction that the recession has been delayed but not derailed is still running at a high level," Rosenberg said.

これは、選挙などの要因もあり＄をばらまき無理やり引き延ばしている感もありますね～

でも、米国も日本も株式が好調。

ということで、問題は山積みですがいまのところ発覚していない感じだと思います。

どこかで発覚するものの、今日明日と言う訳ではなさそうです。

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